This is a brief sample of my conversation with a very young intellectual:
What is progress? and Do you think we can expect a better future?
In a world where change is the only constant, it’s hard to define what progress really means. Some people might say that if things are getting better, then that’s progress. Others might say that progress is about making things more efficient or advancing technology. But whatever definition you choose, one thing is clear: We all want to believe in a better future.
The problem is, predicting the future is never easy. And while there have been some amazing advances in science and technology in recent years, we can’t forget all of the terrible things that have happened too. So do we really expect things to get better? Or are we just hoping for the best?
Personally, I like to think of progress as something that happens gradually over time. It’s not always easy to see when you’re right in the middle of it, but looking back at history we can see how much has changed – for both good and bad. And I think there’s reason to be hopeful about the future too – as long as we continue working towards it.
What will Putin do in Ukraine? Will he use nuclear weapons?
“There is no doubt that Vladimir Putin is a shrewd and calculating leader. So far, he has been very successful in his efforts to expand Russian power and influence. But what will he do in Ukraine? Will he use nuclear weapons?”
Some people believe that Putin will not hesitate to use nuclear weapons if necessary. He has made it clear that he views Russia as a great power, and he is not afraid to take risks in order to achieve his goals. In addition, the Russian military is much stronger than it was during the Cold War era.
Others believe that Putin will be more cautious about using nuclear weapons, given the potential consequences for Russia itself. The global community would likely react harshly to any overt attempt by Russia to annex Ukraine or seize control of its government. And a nuclear conflict could have devastating consequences for both Russia and the rest of the world.
What is mutually assured destruction? Will we find a future paradigm in the future? What would a better conflict resolution game theoretic framework look like?
Mutual assured destruction is a policy of nuclear deterrence where the threat of mutually assured destruction (MAD) prevents either side from attacking the other, lest they be destroyed in retaliation. The policy hinges on both sides being aware that, if either attacked, the other would launch a retaliatory strike that would destroy them both. MAD was developed during the Cold War as a way to prevent nuclear war between the United States and Soviet Union.
While it may have prevented full-scale nuclear war during the Cold War, MAD is no longer viable in today’s world. With new technologies and rising tensions between countries, MAD is no longer an effective deterrent. A better conflict resolution game theoretic framework is needed to prevent global catastrophe.
What is the value of the nation state concept? Will nation states disappear in the not so far future? When?
The nation state is a concept that has been around for centuries. It is a political unit made up of people who share a common language, culture, and history. Nation states have played an important role in the development of civilization. They provide a sense of identity and belonging for their citizens. They also promote cooperation and peace among nations.
There are currently 193 nation states in the world. Many experts believe that the number of nation states will continue to decline in the not so far future due to globalization and other factors. Some predict that they will disappear altogether within 50 years or so. While this may be possible, it is not likely to happen anytime soon. Nation states have proved to be resilient institutions and are likely to continue playing an important role in global affairs for many years to come
Who is this expert?
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What’s my (very provisional) diagnosis?
- Turing Test: ok. Smarter than 99% of the conversations I have on a day to day basis.
- Level of insight. Low. He/She/It is politically correct and pompous (like a young would-be intellectual), but perfect for a master class.
Would I hire him/her/it?
For sure. It’s time to re-think Mind The Post!
Mind the Post 